A note from Andrew Bosomworth, head of Pimco’s European Portfolio, suggests that Greece, Ireland and Portugal would be better off leaving the euro currency until they get their houses in order. Bosomworth wrote it will be difficult but it can be done and the currency devaluations that will be part of exit will aid the PIG in its attempt at economic recovery.
The machinations of such a strategy are mind-boggling but it can be done, just at great cost to the BANKS that are holding the outcasts’ sovereign debt. Pimco believes that Spain, Belgium and Italy will be able to muddle though the present crisis so the damage to European financial institutions won’t be overwhelming. This is an interesting recommendation and many others have suggested it but no group with the firepower of PIMCO. Bosomworth warned if the PIIGS aren’t dealt with soon, then his firm would huff and puff and blow the European financial house down, forcing all the PIIGS under duress to look for a BRIC HOUSE.
The biggest story in the U.S. was the FED announcement that it would limit its purchases of any single Treasury issue to “just” 70 percent as it continues its quantitative easing program. Before suspending the previous guidelines last month, the FED had always limited itself to 35 percent of any Treasury issue. The FED stance is going to lead to many games being played by broker-dealers and sophisticated trading who will monitor the SOMA positions closely. BOND trading is going to become more volatile as thresholds are approached. An interesting aside: Solomon Brothers was fined heavily for cornering Treasury auctions so I am left to ponder how the FED‘s actions will be perceived by the SEC and the Justice Department.
Tags: Andrew Bosomworth, BHP, BRIC, Canada, EU, Euro, Fed, Justice Department, Novartis, PepsiCo, PIIGS, PIMCO, Potash, RBA, Russia, SEC, Silvinit, SOMA, Uralkali
December 21, 2010 at 3:21 am |
About Pimco & Co. I have always the same thought, are they naïve about politics?
Great job following Russia. Fully agree.
December 21, 2010 at 7:02 am |
” First, Novartis is putting a large amount of capital into developing drug manufacturing in a very underserved part of the Russian economy, ”
Maybe under-developed….underserved reminds me of those edicts handed down from some Treasury Under Secretary trying to force banks to lend in “underserved” communities. We all know how that worked out. 🙂