Posts Tagged ‘Reserve Bank of Australia’

Notes From Underground: Just When It Couldn’t Get More Volatile

June 5, 2019

The above reference is from the wonderful cult movie, Putney’s Swope. The CEO of a major advertising firm has a heart attack during a board meeting and the sycophants don’t realize it as they continue peppering him with questions. When he’s unable to respond they ask, “How Many Syllables, Mario?”

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Notes From Underground: Central Bank Poker

April 3, 2013

The initial check with no move on interest rates was offered by the Reserve Bank of Australia as it held its overnight lending rate steady at Tuesday’s meeting. The Aussie 2/10 curve flattened a bit after the meeting and the Aussie two-year note continues to trade at a lower interest rate than the official overnight rate of 3%, yielding just 2.88%. Many readers have asked about the impact of yield curves on equity prices and I will deal with this on an ongoing basis. For an immediate example, if the Aussie curve continues to stay flat I will venture to say that over the course of the year the Australian stock market will underperform. That doesn’t mean that it won’t have synchronized rallies with other developed markets, just by year’s end it will underperform other equity markets. If the RBA acts to cut rates and reset the curve on a more positive slope, the outcome, of course, should be of a better equity performance. To paraphrase Max Planck: Good trading and analysis advances one funeral at a time.

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Notes From Underground: Canada raises rates and Austalians are stressed by Europe

July 20, 2010

This morning, the Bank of Canada (BOC) raised rates to .75 percent as the market widely anticipated. The Canadian dollar was sold off after the announcement as the statement following the INCREASE was considered to be rather dovish going forward. Mark Carney, head of the BOC, said the bank was concerned about the European debt crisis and the continued balance sheet repair going on in the household and government sectors in the developed economies. The BOC felt that investment was tepid due to the cited global uncertainties. It raised rates but still believes that ample monetary stimulus is in place and its removal will be very dependent on the global growth story.

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